Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in Jinan’s minimum temperature for September 17, with outcomes clustered near 45–55% implied probability. Key drivers include variable overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent regional patterns. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration show model spread in low-level temperatures, influenced by urban heat island effects versus rural cooling in surrounding plains. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or clear-sky conditions can shift readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日济南最低气温？
9月17日济南最低气温？
12°C或以下 100%
13°C 100%
22°C或更高 92.8%
14°C 90%
$407 交易量
$407 交易量
2026-09-17
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
55%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
93%
12°C或以下 100%
13°C 100%
22°C或更高 92.8%
14°C 90%
$407 交易量
$407 交易量
2026-09-17
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
13°C
$0 交易量
100%
14°C
$0 交易量
90%
15°C
$0 交易量
90%
16°C
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$0 交易量
90%
18°C
$0 交易量
55%
19°C
$204 交易量
<1%
20°C
$81 交易量
<1%
21°C
$61 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$61 交易量
93%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in Jinan’s minimum temperature for September 17, with outcomes clustered near 45–55% implied probability. Key drivers include variable overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent regional patterns. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration show model spread in low-level temperatures, influenced by urban heat island effects versus rural cooling in surrounding plains. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or clear-sky conditions can shift readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$407结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in Jinan’s minimum temperature for September 17, with outcomes clustered near 45–55% implied probability. Key drivers include variable overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent regional patterns. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration show model spread in low-level temperatures, influenced by urban heat island effects versus rural cooling in surrounding plains. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or clear-sky conditions can shift readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$407结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in Jinan’s minimum temperature for September 17, with outcomes clustered near 45–55% implied probability. Key drivers include variable overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent regional patterns. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration show model spread in low-level temperatures, influenced by urban heat island effects versus rural cooling in surrounding plains. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or clear-sky conditions can shift readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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