Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Miami on April 26?
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$30,194 交易量
$30,194 交易量
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$30,194 交易量
$30,194 交易量
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题