Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum temperature near 20°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloudy, stable conditions with light westerly winds and no significant cooling advection. Model consensus shows overnight lows holding around 20–21°C after daytime highs of 24–26°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September and explaining the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 20°C outcome. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes substantial deviations unlikely before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月13日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
20°C 99%
18°C 3%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,495 交易量
$10,495 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C 3%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,495 交易量
$10,495 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
$254 交易量
<1%
17°C
$623 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,025 交易量
3%
19°C
$1,066 交易量
1%
20°C
$3,783 交易量
99%
21°C
$1,913 交易量
<1%
22°C
$311 交易量
<1%
23°C
$220 交易量
<1%
24°C
$490 交易量
<1%
25°C
$474 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum temperature near 20°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloudy, stable conditions with light westerly winds and no significant cooling advection. Model consensus shows overnight lows holding around 20–21°C after daytime highs of 24–26°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September and explaining the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 20°C outcome. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes substantial deviations unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,495结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum temperature near 20°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloudy, stable conditions with light westerly winds and no significant cooling advection. Model consensus shows overnight lows holding around 20–21°C after daytime highs of 24–26°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September and explaining the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 20°C outcome. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes substantial deviations unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,495结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts and observational data from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum temperature near 20°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloudy, stable conditions with light westerly winds and no significant cooling advection. Model consensus shows overnight lows holding around 20–21°C after daytime highs of 24–26°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September and explaining the overwhelming market-implied probability on the 20°C outcome. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects could shift the recorded minimum by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes substantial deviations unlikely before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题