Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日上海最低气温?
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 交易量
$34,962 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 交易量
$34,962 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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