Official JMA forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 25°C overnight low as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover and elevated humidity from a weakening frontal system that has kept recent minima between 23–25°C. Southerly flow and mostly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 34–35°C sustain the warm, moist boundary layer. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with light precipitation and high dew points suppressing sharper drops. Updated model runs and JMA guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C or 26°C if cloud cover or winds evolve differently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日东京气温最低？
8月24日东京气温最低？
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
23°C 14%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C
43%
26°C
36%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
4%
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
23°C 14%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
2%
22°C
$1 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
14%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$17 交易量
43%
26°C
$98 交易量
36%
27°C
$0 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 25°C overnight low as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover and elevated humidity from a weakening frontal system that has kept recent minima between 23–25°C. Southerly flow and mostly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 34–35°C sustain the warm, moist boundary layer. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with light precipitation and high dew points suppressing sharper drops. Updated model runs and JMA guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C or 26°C if cloud cover or winds evolve differently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 25°C overnight low as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover and elevated humidity from a weakening frontal system that has kept recent minima between 23–25°C. Southerly flow and mostly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 34–35°C sustain the warm, moist boundary layer. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with light precipitation and high dew points suppressing sharper drops. Updated model runs and JMA guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C or 26°C if cloud cover or winds evolve differently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial JMA forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 25°C overnight low as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover and elevated humidity from a weakening frontal system that has kept recent minima between 23–25°C. Southerly flow and mostly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 34–35°C sustain the warm, moist boundary layer. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with light precipitation and high dew points suppressing sharper drops. Updated model runs and JMA guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C or 26°C if cloud cover or winds evolve differently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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