Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$117,325,750 交易量
2026-12-31
4月30日
1%
6月30日
6%
12月31日
44%
$117,325,750 交易量
4月30日
$7,928,425 交易量
1%
6月30日
$4,034,042 交易量
6%
12月31日
$1,157,407 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
交易量
$117,325,750结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$117,325,750结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent weekend polls from Israeli channels 12, 13, and Kan show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition projected to fall short of a Knesset majority at 51 seats, amid 51-61% public opposition to the Iran ceasefire and Likud seat declines, while right-leaning surveys indicate a slim hold. The coalition's March 31 passage of the 2026 state budget averted early elections, stabilizing tenure until legislative polls by October 27. Netanyahu's corruption trial resumed this week post-war pause, with his testimony delayed on security grounds. Yesterday's 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump, adds diplomatic context but underscores coalition pressures ahead of the vote. Trader consensus reflects low near-term removal risk via no-confidence or snap election, with focus on electoral math and opposition fragmentation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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