Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport around 24-25°C for April 13, fueling trader sentiment with market-implied odds of 29.5% and 31.5% respectively, amid a mild autumn pattern marked by early April's record high minimums near 24°C from persistent warm air advection. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation or convective clouds capping peaks at 23°C (15.5%), versus clearer skies and stronger solar insolation under high-pressure ridging enabling 25°C. Climatological April highs average 22°C, but current subtropical influences tilt above normal; uncertainty persists in model spread, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh runs through April 12 poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
25°C 30%
24°C 30%
23°C 16%
26°C 8.4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
30%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 30%
24°C 30%
23°C 16%
26°C 8.4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
30%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza Airport around 24-25°C for April 13, fueling trader sentiment with market-implied odds of 29.5% and 31.5% respectively, amid a mild autumn pattern marked by early April's record high minimums near 24°C from persistent warm air advection. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze moderation or convective clouds capping peaks at 23°C (15.5%), versus clearer skies and stronger solar insolation under high-pressure ridging enabling 25°C. Climatological April highs average 22°C, but current subtropical influences tilt above normal; uncertainty persists in model spread, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh runs through April 12 poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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