Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (34%) or 25°C (27.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C amid mild autumn conditions with minimums around 18°C. This reflects warmer-than-normal early April trends, including a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1, signaling persistent subtropical air masses. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata could cap peaks at 24°C or allow brief surges to 25°C. Uncertainty persists due to inherent short-range forecast divergence; final SMN updates and Aeroparque observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 35%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 15%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
35%
25°C
28%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 15%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
35%
25°C
28%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 24°C (34%) or 25°C (27.5%) in Buenos Aires on April 12, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C amid mild autumn conditions with minimums around 18°C. This reflects warmer-than-normal early April trends, including a record minimum of 24.1°C on April 1, signaling persistent subtropical air masses. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where variations in afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata could cap peaks at 24°C or allow brief surges to 25°C. Uncertainty persists due to inherent short-range forecast divergence; final SMN updates and Aeroparque observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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