Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a 15°C high in Paris on April 13, reflecting a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe following an unusually warm spell with highs reaching 24–26°C earlier in the week from April 7–12. This shift to typical spring conditions aligns with historical April averages around 15–16°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but model spread highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly winds that could cap temperatures at 13–14°C or boost them to 16–17°C if sunnier. GFS runs show similar clustering near 15°C, though minor disagreements on frontal timing persist; watch for updated 00z/12z ECMWF releases and Météo-France bulletins tomorrow, which often refine short-range probabilities as observations refine.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
15°C 34%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
16°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
34%
16°C
14%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 34%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
16°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
34%
16°C
14%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a 15°C high in Paris on April 13, reflecting a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe following an unusually warm spell with highs reaching 24–26°C earlier in the week from April 7–12. This shift to typical spring conditions aligns with historical April averages around 15–16°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but model spread highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly winds that could cap temperatures at 13–14°C or boost them to 16–17°C if sunnier. GFS runs show similar clustering near 15°C, though minor disagreements on frontal timing persist; watch for updated 00z/12z ECMWF releases and Météo-France bulletins tomorrow, which often refine short-range probabilities as observations refine.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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