Following a record heat episode peaking at 27°C in Paris on April 9, Météo-France reports a sharp cooldown driven by a deep Atlantic low-pressure system northwest of Britain, ushering cooler northwest air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers into the Île-de-France region. This perturbation has depressed maximum temperatures, with latest guidance centering on 14–15°C for April 12 amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating—explaining the tight 39% implied probability for 14°C versus 31% for 15°C and 19% for 16°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF show minimal spread, but exact cloud breaks or shower timing could nudge the peak higher or lower; monitor evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution using official Paris-Montsouris station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 12. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 12. April?
14°C 36%
15°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 9%
$32,802 Vol.
$32,802 Vol.
8°C oder weniger
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
36%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
1%
14°C 36%
15°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 9%
$32,802 Vol.
$32,802 Vol.
8°C oder weniger
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
36%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a record heat episode peaking at 27°C in Paris on April 9, Météo-France reports a sharp cooldown driven by a deep Atlantic low-pressure system northwest of Britain, ushering cooler northwest air masses, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers into the Île-de-France region. This perturbation has depressed maximum temperatures, with latest guidance centering on 14–15°C for April 12 amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating—explaining the tight 39% implied probability for 14°C versus 31% for 15°C and 19% for 16°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF show minimal spread, but exact cloud breaks or shower timing could nudge the peak higher or lower; monitor evening forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution using official Paris-Montsouris station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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