NEA's latest short-range forecast for Singapore on March 23 points to a high of 33°C under mostly clear skies with low thundershower risk, anchoring trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 32°C (31.5%) and 34°C (24%). This tight clustering reflects equatorial climate norms—March averages 31.8–32.5°C at Changi Airport station—but amplified by lingering El Niño effects driving drier, hotter conditions (recent highs hit 35°C). Differentiators include afternoon sea breeze strength potentially capping at 32°C via evaporative cooling, versus sustained solar heating and urban heat island effects pushing toward 34°C if convection delays. Model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show ±1°C spread, with final NEA update pivotal before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Singapur am 23. März?
33°C 34%
32°C 29%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
26°C oder niedriger
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
34%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C oder höher
4%
33°C 34%
32°C 29%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
26°C oder niedriger
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
34%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's latest short-range forecast for Singapore on March 23 points to a high of 33°C under mostly clear skies with low thundershower risk, anchoring trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability, edging out 32°C (31.5%) and 34°C (24%). This tight clustering reflects equatorial climate norms—March averages 31.8–32.5°C at Changi Airport station—but amplified by lingering El Niño effects driving drier, hotter conditions (recent highs hit 35°C). Differentiators include afternoon sea breeze strength potentially capping at 32°C via evaporative cooling, versus sustained solar heating and urban heat island effects pushing toward 34°C if convection delays. Model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) show ±1°C spread, with final NEA update pivotal before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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