Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 11 at 17:00 JST, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 13 under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation probability, driving trader consensus toward 22°C (34%) and 23°C or higher (37.5%). This reflects a slight cooling from weekend highs near 23°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing mid-level clouds to limit solar heating and diurnal temperature rises. Differentiating factors include southerly wind persistence for warmer outcomes versus increased cloud cover capping peaks at 21°C (21.5%); ensemble models show spread due to boundary layer mixing variability. Next JMA update tomorrow may refine odds as observations confirm cloud trends against April climatological highs around 19–20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 36%
21°C 24%
20°C 6%
$12,832 Vol.
$12,832 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
24%
22°C
37%
23°C or higher
36%
22°C 37%
23°C or higher 36%
21°C 24%
20°C 6%
$12,832 Vol.
$12,832 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
24%
22°C
37%
23°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 11 at 17:00 JST, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 13 under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation probability, driving trader consensus toward 22°C (34%) and 23°C or higher (37.5%). This reflects a slight cooling from weekend highs near 23°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing mid-level clouds to limit solar heating and diurnal temperature rises. Differentiating factors include southerly wind persistence for warmer outcomes versus increased cloud cover capping peaks at 21°C (21.5%); ensemble models show spread due to boundary layer mixing variability. Next JMA update tomorrow may refine odds as observations confirm cloud trends against April climatological highs around 19–20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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