Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul's Incheon area on September 13 clustering tightly around 18–20°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show only subtle variations in overnight radiative cooling under a weak high-pressure ridge. Light winds and mostly clear skies favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 25–27°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could limit the drop by 1–2°C. These conditions align with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September minima typically range 17–21°C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 13. September?
20°C 36%
19°C 33%
18°C 26%
21°C 6%
16°C oder darunter
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
26%
19°C
33%
20°C
36%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 33%
18°C 26%
21°C 6%
16°C oder darunter
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
26%
19°C
33%
20°C
36%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Seoul's Incheon area on September 13 clustering tightly around 18–20°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show only subtle variations in overnight radiative cooling under a weak high-pressure ridge. Light winds and mostly clear skies favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 25–27°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift could limit the drop by 1–2°C. These conditions align with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September minima typically range 17–21°C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 12–24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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