Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, combined with Franklin’s 2024 reelection margin above 30 points, underpins trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Both party primaries were canceled after minimal opposition, allowing Franklin and Democrat Curtis Gibson to advance directly while an independent candidate also qualified. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this inland Florida district limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-18
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-18
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,421 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$13,756 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, combined with Franklin’s 2024 reelection margin above 30 points, underpins trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Both party primaries were canceled after minimal opposition, allowing Franklin and Democrat Curtis Gibson to advance directly while an independent candidate also qualified. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this inland Florida district limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$37,177Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, combined with Franklin’s 2024 reelection margin above 30 points, underpins trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Both party primaries were canceled after minimal opposition, allowing Franklin and Democrat Curtis Gibson to advance directly while an independent candidate also qualified. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this inland Florida district limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,177Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, combined with Franklin’s 2024 reelection margin above 30 points, underpins trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee. Both party primaries were canceled after minimal opposition, allowing Franklin and Democrat Curtis Gibson to advance directly while an independent candidate also qualified. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this inland Florida district limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes