Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus with 28°C at 34% implied probability and 29°C at 29.5%. This reflects a recent shift toward clearer skies after early-April rainy patterns, allowing greater solar insolation amid springtime warming trends, where mid-month highs typically average 23–25°C but can spike under high-pressure ridges. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and light winds, which could cap peaks at 27–28°C or enable a 29°C nudge via enhanced urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport, the resolution site per Weather Underground data. Uncertainty persists until observational updates resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 33%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
26°C 11%
NUEVO
$14,235 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,235 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
33%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
26°C 11%
NUEVO
$14,235 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,235 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,920 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,568 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,234 Vol.
2%
26°C
$591 Vol.
11%
27°C
$618 Vol.
20%
28°C
$403 Vol.
33%
29°C
$304 Vol.
29%
30°C
$795 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,027 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$1,271 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus with 28°C at 34% implied probability and 29°C at 29.5%. This reflects a recent shift toward clearer skies after early-April rainy patterns, allowing greater solar insolation amid springtime warming trends, where mid-month highs typically average 23–25°C but can spike under high-pressure ridges. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and light winds, which could cap peaks at 27–28°C or enable a 29°C nudge via enhanced urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport, the resolution site per Weather Underground data. Uncertainty persists until observational updates resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$14,235Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus with 28°C at 34% implied probability and 29°C at 29.5%. This reflects a recent shift toward clearer skies after early-April rainy patterns, allowing greater solar insolation amid springtime warming trends, where mid-month highs typically average 23–25°C but can spike under high-pressure ridges. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and light winds, which could cap peaks at 27–28°C or enable a 29°C nudge via enhanced urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport, the resolution site per Weather Underground data. Uncertainty persists until observational updates resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,235Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus with 28°C at 34% implied probability and 29°C at 29.5%. This reflects a recent shift toward clearer skies after early-April rainy patterns, allowing greater solar insolation amid springtime warming trends, where mid-month highs typically average 23–25°C but can spike under high-pressure ridges. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and light winds, which could cap peaks at 27–28°C or enable a 29°C nudge via enhanced urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport, the resolution site per Weather Underground data. Uncertainty persists until observational updates resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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