The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 39%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
39%
30°C
24%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$907 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,444 Vol.
1%
27°C
$677 Vol.
7%
28°C
$247 Vol.
18%
29°C
$297 Vol.
39%
30°C
$143 Vol.
24%
31°C
$300 Vol.
10%
32°C
$660 Vol.
3%
33°C
$507 Vol.
1%
34°C
$496 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$1,984 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$8,662Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,662Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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