Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
NUEVO
$14,001 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,001 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
NUEVO
$14,001 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,001 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
$1,456 Vol.
1%
8°C
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$631 Vol.
2%
10°C
$356 Vol.
7%
11°C
$160 Vol.
16%
12°C
$173 Vol.
37%
13°C
$202 Vol.
24%
14°C
$560 Vol.
13%
15°C
$2,091 Vol.
3%
16°C
$2,790 Vol.
3%
17°C or higher
$4,001 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$14,001Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,001Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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