Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, reflecting his baseline of 35-42 daily posts seen in early April data, including a 299-post week ending April 14 amid Tesla engagement surges. A recent lull—just one post in the last 24 hours as of April 16—has edged lower bins like 240-259 and 260-279 slightly ahead at 15.5-16.5%, tempering projections from a mid-week spike of 78 posts on April 12-13. Competitive dynamics hinge on Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to viral moments, SpaceX updates, or political commentary, with no confirmed events this week; sustained quiet could favor sub-260, while a news catalyst might push toward 300+. Markets capture this volatility through skin-in-the-game bets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$817,008 Vol.
$817,008 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$817,008 Vol.
$817,008 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, reflecting his baseline of 35-42 daily posts seen in early April data, including a 299-post week ending April 14 amid Tesla engagement surges. A recent lull—just one post in the last 24 hours as of April 16—has edged lower bins like 240-259 and 260-279 slightly ahead at 15.5-16.5%, tempering projections from a mid-week spike of 78 posts on April 12-13. Competitive dynamics hinge on Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to viral moments, SpaceX updates, or political commentary, with no confirmed events this week; sustained quiet could favor sub-260, while a news catalyst might push toward 300+. Markets capture this volatility through skin-in-the-game bets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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