Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (42%) and 10°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, mirroring subtle divergences in forecast models amid an unseasonal cold snap. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a maximum of 10°C with minimums near 1°C, driven by persistent northerly cold air advection and lingering post-frontal cloudiness following recent light snow on April 11. International ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show peaks clustering 9–11°C, with 9°C favored if afternoon overcast suppresses diurnal heating, versus 10°C under partial sun breaks enhancing boundary layer warming. Observations at Esenboğa Airport will resolve, with hourly updates tracking potential shifts before evening cooldown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
9°C 41%
10°C 37%
8°C 14%
11°C 8%
$31,130 Vol.
$31,130 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
14%
9°C
41%
10°C
37%
11°C
8%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
9°C 41%
10°C 37%
8°C 14%
11°C 8%
$31,130 Vol.
$31,130 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
14%
9°C
41%
10°C
37%
11°C
8%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (42%) and 10°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, mirroring subtle divergences in forecast models amid an unseasonal cold snap. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projects a maximum of 10°C with minimums near 1°C, driven by persistent northerly cold air advection and lingering post-frontal cloudiness following recent light snow on April 11. International ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show peaks clustering 9–11°C, with 9°C favored if afternoon overcast suppresses diurnal heating, versus 10°C under partial sun breaks enhancing boundary layer warming. Observations at Esenboğa Airport will resolve, with hourly updates tracking potential shifts before evening cooldown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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