Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high temperature near 12°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station on April 13, with 36.5% odds on 12°C edging out 11°C at 30% and 13°C at 21.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. A lingering cool air mass from recent cloudy, showery conditions over the past 48 hours has kept daytime highs subdued around 11°C today, but anticipated clear skies and light winds tomorrow under building high pressure favor stronger diurnal heating to 12–13°C. Key differentiators include model variations in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, with historical April averages near 16°C providing climatological context for potential upside surprises. MGM's next update and airport observations will sharpen resolution before the daily peak around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 41%
11°C 29%
13°C 18%
9°C or below 6.8%
$13,157 Vol.
$13,157 Vol.
9°C or below
7%
10°C
4%
11°C
29%
12°C
41%
13°C
18%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
11°C 29%
13°C 18%
9°C or below 6.8%
$13,157 Vol.
$13,157 Vol.
9°C or below
7%
10°C
4%
11°C
29%
12°C
41%
13°C
18%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high temperature near 12°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station on April 13, with 36.5% odds on 12°C edging out 11°C at 30% and 13°C at 21.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. A lingering cool air mass from recent cloudy, showery conditions over the past 48 hours has kept daytime highs subdued around 11°C today, but anticipated clear skies and light winds tomorrow under building high pressure favor stronger diurnal heating to 12–13°C. Key differentiators include model variations in boundary layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, with historical April averages near 16°C providing climatological context for potential upside surprises. MGM's next update and airport observations will sharpen resolution before the daily peak around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions