Trader consensus favors 21°C (38%) and 22°C (27.5%) as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 17, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest forecast of a 20–21°C maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with yesterday's rebound to around 19–20°C amid clear skies enabling stronger diel heating. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for mild highs near 21°C, above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C, though slight cloud cover or model divergences could cap or exceed it. Updated MGM bulletins and evening model runs expected today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 35%
22°C 30%
20°C 14%
23°C 6.6%
$17,428 Vol.
$17,428 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
35%
22°C
30%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
22°C 30%
20°C 14%
23°C 6.6%
$17,428 Vol.
$17,428 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
35%
22°C
30%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 21°C (38%) and 22°C (27.5%) as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 17, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) latest forecast of a 20–21°C maximum under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with yesterday's rebound to around 19–20°C amid clear skies enabling stronger diel heating. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for mild highs near 21°C, above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C, though slight cloud cover or model divergences could cap or exceed it. Updated MGM bulletins and evening model runs expected today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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