Latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 24–26°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 25°C (30.5%) and 26°C (25%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pampas ensures mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, enabling peak heating in the urban core amplified by the heat island effect, while subtle differences in modeled afternoon sea breeze onset from the Río de la Plata and thin high-cloud cover differentiate the outcomes by 1–2°C. Above the April climatological average of ~22°C, these implied probabilities reflect model convergence after yesterday's runs amid low synoptic volatility; watch SMN's next advisory and real-time airport observations for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 25%
23°C 9%
NEW
$24,420 Vol.
NEW
$24,420 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 25%
23°C 9%
NEW
$24,420 Vol.
NEW
$24,420 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,108 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,588 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,332 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,139 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,873 Vol.
9%
24°C
$1,318 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,009 Vol.
31%
26°C
$1,365 Vol.
25%
27°C
$2,276 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$1,484 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 24–26°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 25°C (30.5%) and 26°C (25%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pampas ensures mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, enabling peak heating in the urban core amplified by the heat island effect, while subtle differences in modeled afternoon sea breeze onset from the Río de la Plata and thin high-cloud cover differentiate the outcomes by 1–2°C. Above the April climatological average of ~22°C, these implied probabilities reflect model convergence after yesterday's runs amid low synoptic volatility; watch SMN's next advisory and real-time airport observations for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$24,420End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 24–26°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 25°C (30.5%) and 26°C (25%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pampas ensures mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, enabling peak heating in the urban core amplified by the heat island effect, while subtle differences in modeled afternoon sea breeze onset from the Río de la Plata and thin high-cloud cover differentiate the outcomes by 1–2°C. Above the April climatological average of ~22°C, these implied probabilities reflect model convergence after yesterday's runs amid low synoptic volatility; watch SMN's next advisory and real-time airport observations for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,420End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models including ECMWF and GFS project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 24–26°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 25°C (30.5%) and 26°C (25%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Pampas ensures mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, enabling peak heating in the urban core amplified by the heat island effect, while subtle differences in modeled afternoon sea breeze onset from the Río de la Plata and thin high-cloud cover differentiate the outcomes by 1–2°C. Above the April climatological average of ~22°C, these implied probabilities reflect model convergence after yesterday's runs amid low synoptic volatility; watch SMN's next advisory and real-time airport observations for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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