National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas Love Field, the market's resolution station, point to a high near 85°F on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 82-87°F ranges with 84.5% implied probability combined. This reflects the latest 3 a.m. CDT update showing partly sunny skies, south winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, and persistent above-normal temperatures amid NOAA's spring outlook for the region amid drought conditions that reduce evaporative cooling. Yesterday's observed high of 79°F at Dallas-Fort Worth aligns with the ongoing warm pattern well above the 76°F April 17 normal, though a cold front arriving Friday night caps upside potential. Model consensus supports mid-80s peaks, but new guidance throughout April 16 could refine probabilities as cloud cover and frontal timing remain uncertain variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
$19,520 Vol.
$19,520 Vol.
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
$19,520 Vol.
$19,520 Vol.
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas Love Field, the market's resolution station, point to a high near 85°F on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 82-87°F ranges with 84.5% implied probability combined. This reflects the latest 3 a.m. CDT update showing partly sunny skies, south winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, and persistent above-normal temperatures amid NOAA's spring outlook for the region amid drought conditions that reduce evaporative cooling. Yesterday's observed high of 79°F at Dallas-Fort Worth aligns with the ongoing warm pattern well above the 76°F April 17 normal, though a cold front arriving Friday night caps upside potential. Model consensus supports mid-80s peaks, but new guidance throughout April 16 could refine probabilities as cloud cover and frontal timing remain uncertain variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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