Official observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—have already recorded air temperatures reaching 34°C or higher early on April 11, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid minimal cloud cover and the onset of Indonesia's early dry season. BMKG data confirms recent Greater Jakarta highs exceeding 35°C in March, with today's forecasts indicating peaks up to 32°C but actual measurements surpassing expectations due to urban heat island effects and low humidity amplifying solar insolation. April climatology averages 32°C highs, yet persistent anticyclonic conditions favor extremes. A late thunderstorm remains the only realistic challenge, though current model consensus from BMKG shows low precipitation risk before evening data finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$24,909 Vol.
$24,909 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$24,909 Vol.
$24,909 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—have already recorded air temperatures reaching 34°C or higher early on April 11, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid minimal cloud cover and the onset of Indonesia's early dry season. BMKG data confirms recent Greater Jakarta highs exceeding 35°C in March, with today's forecasts indicating peaks up to 32°C but actual measurements surpassing expectations due to urban heat island effects and low humidity amplifying solar insolation. April climatology averages 32°C highs, yet persistent anticyclonic conditions favor extremes. A late thunderstorm remains the only realistic challenge, though current model consensus from BMKG shows low precipitation risk before evening data finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions