Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C (37.5% implied probability) over 34°C (29.5%) and 32°C (20%), reflecting latest BMKG forecasts for partly cloudy skies with light rain risks across DKI Jakarta on April 17 amid transitional post-rainy season patterns. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon cloud development—early overcast could cap peaks at 32°C via reduced solar insolation, while delayed showers allow urban heat island amplification to push 34°C, as seen in recent March spikes above 36°C. Historical April averages sit at 32°C, but model ensembles like BMKG's high-resolution runs show slight divergence on peak heating before evening precipitation. Hourly updates from Halim station observations will resolve uncertainties by midday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 29%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C (37.5% implied probability) over 34°C (29.5%) and 32°C (20%), reflecting latest BMKG forecasts for partly cloudy skies with light rain risks across DKI Jakarta on April 17 amid transitional post-rainy season patterns. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon cloud development—early overcast could cap peaks at 32°C via reduced solar insolation, while delayed showers allow urban heat island amplification to push 34°C, as seen in recent March spikes above 36°C. Historical April averages sit at 32°C, but model ensembles like BMKG's high-resolution runs show slight divergence on peak heating before evening precipitation. Hourly updates from Halim station observations will resolve uncertainties by midday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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