Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a maximum temperature of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 24 amid typical late-summer conditions, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit overnight cooling. This consensus from numerical guidance supports the strong market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as Jinan’s August climatology features average daily highs near 31–33°C and recent observations have consistently exceeded 30°C. Thunderstorm activity may introduce minor variability in peak readings, yet no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower-temperature outcomes at negligible odds. Updated model runs overnight will refine any adjustments to this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
26°C or higher 77%
25°C 28%
24°C 10%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
77%
26°C or higher 77%
25°C 28%
24°C 10%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
10%
25°C
$5 Vol.
28%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a maximum temperature of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 24 amid typical late-summer conditions, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit overnight cooling. This consensus from numerical guidance supports the strong market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as Jinan’s August climatology features average daily highs near 31–33°C and recent observations have consistently exceeded 30°C. Thunderstorm activity may introduce minor variability in peak readings, yet no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower-temperature outcomes at negligible odds. Updated model runs overnight will refine any adjustments to this outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a maximum temperature of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 24 amid typical late-summer conditions, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit overnight cooling. This consensus from numerical guidance supports the strong market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as Jinan’s August climatology features average daily highs near 31–33°C and recent observations have consistently exceeded 30°C. Thunderstorm activity may introduce minor variability in peak readings, yet no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower-temperature outcomes at negligible odds. Updated model runs overnight will refine any adjustments to this outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services project a maximum temperature of 32–35°C in Jinan on August 24 amid typical late-summer conditions, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light southerly winds that limit overnight cooling. This consensus from numerical guidance supports the strong market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, as Jinan’s August climatology features average daily highs near 31–33°C and recent observations have consistently exceeded 30°C. Thunderstorm activity may introduce minor variability in peak readings, yet no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower-temperature outcomes at negligible odds. Updated model runs overnight will refine any adjustments to this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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