**Recent official forecasts and local meteorological guidance for Jinan point to a modest daytime high near 24–26 °C on 25 September, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a weakening frontal system.** Multiple Chinese weather services project a high around 25–26 °C under mostly overcast skies with 60–70 % precipitation probability, while international models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and WindBorne cluster near 23–24 °C (roughly 73–75 °F). The rain and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September climatology that would otherwise favor warmer readings; steering winds remain light, reducing mixing. Market-implied odds, which place the highest probability on 24 °C followed closely by 25 °C, reflect this narrow ensemble spread and typical model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of clearing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 25?
24°C 38%
25°C 30%
26°C or higher 23%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
38%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
23%
24°C 38%
25°C 30%
26°C or higher 23%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
38%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Recent official forecasts and local meteorological guidance for Jinan point to a modest daytime high near 24–26 °C on 25 September, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a weakening frontal system.** Multiple Chinese weather services project a high around 25–26 °C under mostly overcast skies with 60–70 % precipitation probability, while international models such as those referenced by WeatherBug and WindBorne cluster near 23–24 °C (roughly 73–75 °F). The rain and high humidity are limiting surface heating despite September climatology that would otherwise favor warmer readings; steering winds remain light, reducing mixing. Market-implied odds, which place the highest probability on 24 °C followed closely by 25 °C, reflect this narrow ensemble spread and typical model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of clearing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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