Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 26 under partly cloudy skies and a fresh northwest airflow, following the warmer air mass that peaks Friday. This positions 20–21°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-September cooling after an above-average spell and limited solar heating from increased cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with historical September maxima near 19–20°C providing climatological context. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model runs and official updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the peak by a degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on September 26?
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 21%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
10%
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 21%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 26 under partly cloudy skies and a fresh northwest airflow, following the warmer air mass that peaks Friday. This positions 20–21°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting typical late-September cooling after an above-average spell and limited solar heating from increased cloud cover. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with historical September maxima near 19–20°C providing climatological context. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model runs and official updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter the peak by a degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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