Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 26?
23°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 29%
27°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 29%
27°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$7 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$23 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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