PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, a primary Metro Manila reference point, confirm a peak temperature of 35.5°C at 3:00 p.m. on April 27, 2026—standard rounding and aggregation across stations position the daily high at 36°C amid persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies that capped intensification potential. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability reflects real-time automated weather station data showing no exceedance into the evening, with cooling nocturnal patterns now dominant. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset measurement spike at peripheral stations like NAIA or an upward data revision in PAGASA's final daily summary, though historical April precedents and current model consensus make this improbable. Updated reports expected by morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on April 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 27?
36°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$34,352 Vol.
$34,352 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$34,352 Vol.
$34,352 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
29°C or below
$1,895 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,722 Vol.
No
31°C
$684 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,615 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,388 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,234 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,823 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,346 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$3,451 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,084 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,109 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, a primary Metro Manila reference point, confirm a peak temperature of 35.5°C at 3:00 p.m. on April 27, 2026—standard rounding and aggregation across stations position the daily high at 36°C amid persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies that capped intensification potential. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability reflects real-time automated weather station data showing no exceedance into the evening, with cooling nocturnal patterns now dominant. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset measurement spike at peripheral stations like NAIA or an upward data revision in PAGASA's final daily summary, though historical April precedents and current model consensus make this improbable. Updated reports expected by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$34,352End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, a primary Metro Manila reference point, confirm a peak temperature of 35.5°C at 3:00 p.m. on April 27, 2026—standard rounding and aggregation across stations position the daily high at 36°C amid persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies that capped intensification potential. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability reflects real-time automated weather station data showing no exceedance into the evening, with cooling nocturnal patterns now dominant. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset measurement spike at peripheral stations like NAIA or an upward data revision in PAGASA's final daily summary, though historical April precedents and current model consensus make this improbable. Updated reports expected by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,352End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, a primary Metro Manila reference point, confirm a peak temperature of 35.5°C at 3:00 p.m. on April 27, 2026—standard rounding and aggregation across stations position the daily high at 36°C amid persistent easterlies and partly cloudy skies that capped intensification potential. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability reflects real-time automated weather station data showing no exceedance into the evening, with cooling nocturnal patterns now dominant. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset measurement spike at peripheral stations like NAIA or an upward data revision in PAGASA's final daily summary, though historical April precedents and current model consensus make this improbable. Updated reports expected by morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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