**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,043 Vol.
$27,043 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,043 Vol.
$27,043 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
28°C or below
$350 Vol.
No
29°C
$350 Vol.
No
30°C
$520 Vol.
No
31°C
$588 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,325 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,802 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,637 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,358 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,401 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,157 Vol.
Yes
38°C or higher
$3,555 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$27,043End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,043End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions