Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a 34°C high for April 17 amid south winds at 5-15 km/h and late morning to early afternoon thundery showers during inter-monsoon conditions, yet trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 32°C at 37.5% implied probability versus 31°C at 32.5%, reflecting skepticism over sustained peak heating. Frequent afternoon convection limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, often capping highs below model projections despite today's early 33.6°C at Sembawang. Historical April maxima average around 31°C, with cloud cover and sea breeze timing as key differentiators; watch for MSS updates tomorrow morning as new model runs could refine shower coverage and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 17?
32°C 36%
31°C 35%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
$32,045 Vol.
$32,045 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
35%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 35%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
$32,045 Vol.
$32,045 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
35%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a 34°C high for April 17 amid south winds at 5-15 km/h and late morning to early afternoon thundery showers during inter-monsoon conditions, yet trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 32°C at 37.5% implied probability versus 31°C at 32.5%, reflecting skepticism over sustained peak heating. Frequent afternoon convection limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, often capping highs below model projections despite today's early 33.6°C at Sembawang. Historical April maxima average around 31°C, with cloud cover and sea breeze timing as key differentiators; watch for MSS updates tomorrow morning as new model runs could refine shower coverage and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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