Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast guidance for Taipei on April 17 indicates a high of up to 30°C under partly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C with 29°C slightly leading at 27.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects push peaks near 29°C, tempered by potential sea breezes or isolated clouds introducing 1–2°C variability. April climatology averages 25°C highs, but recent days' upper-20s readings amid a high-pressure ridge amplify warming potential; resolution hinges on CWA's official station measurement, with final hourly updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
29°C 28%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
$29,252 Vol.
NEW
$29,252 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
23%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
$29,252 Vol.
NEW
$29,252 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,172 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,123 Vol.
2%
26°C
$4,642 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,714 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,489 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,639 Vol.
28%
30°C
$2,516 Vol.
23%
31°C
$2,518 Vol.
7%
32°C
$3,213 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,223 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast guidance for Taipei on April 17 indicates a high of up to 30°C under partly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C with 29°C slightly leading at 27.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects push peaks near 29°C, tempered by potential sea breezes or isolated clouds introducing 1–2°C variability. April climatology averages 25°C highs, but recent days' upper-20s readings amid a high-pressure ridge amplify warming potential; resolution hinges on CWA's official station measurement, with final hourly updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$29,252End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast guidance for Taipei on April 17 indicates a high of up to 30°C under partly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C with 29°C slightly leading at 27.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects push peaks near 29°C, tempered by potential sea breezes or isolated clouds introducing 1–2°C variability. April climatology averages 25°C highs, but recent days' upper-20s readings amid a high-pressure ridge amplify warming potential; resolution hinges on CWA's official station measurement, with final hourly updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,252End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast guidance for Taipei on April 17 indicates a high of up to 30°C under partly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C with 29°C slightly leading at 27.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects push peaks near 29°C, tempered by potential sea breezes or isolated clouds introducing 1–2°C variability. April climatology averages 25°C highs, but recent days' upper-20s readings amid a high-pressure ridge amplify warming potential; resolution hinges on CWA's official station measurement, with final hourly updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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