Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 Vol.
$84,692 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 Vol.
$84,692 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
$1,925 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,524 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,264 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,375 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,016 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,049 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,271 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,908 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,730 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,321 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$10,309 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$84,692End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,692End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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