Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as frontrunners amid tight uncertainty. Recent rainfall on April 15 capped highs at 22°C, but a building high-pressure ridge promises light northeast winds under partly cloudy to overcast skies, enabling solar heating typical of mid-April's diurnal range. Model spreads hinge on cloud cover variability—thicker overcast favoring 26°C, sunnier intervals potentially reaching 28°C—against Wuhan's climatological average high of 22–24°C. Overnight forecast updates from CMA will clarify peak hourly temperatures before official observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,663 Vol.
$14,663 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
35%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,663 Vol.
$14,663 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
35%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as frontrunners amid tight uncertainty. Recent rainfall on April 15 capped highs at 22°C, but a building high-pressure ridge promises light northeast winds under partly cloudy to overcast skies, enabling solar heating typical of mid-April's diurnal range. Model spreads hinge on cloud cover variability—thicker overcast favoring 26°C, sunnier intervals potentially reaching 28°C—against Wuhan's climatological average high of 22–24°C. Overnight forecast updates from CMA will clarify peak hourly temperatures before official observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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