Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as the leading outcomes at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station. This reflects a warming trend following cooler highs around 22°C on April 15–16, amid high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on peak timing—mid-afternoon maximums versus earlier peaks under partial clouds—and local urban heat effects, with climatological April averages near 22°C but recent days trending 3–5°C warmer. New 00Z/12Z runs expected overnight could refine probabilities before observations confirm the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEW
$14,563 Vol.
NEW
$14,563 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
35%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEW
$14,563 Vol.
NEW
$14,563 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,776 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,415 Vol.
2%
25°C
$664 Vol.
12%
26°C
$444 Vol.
35%
27°C
$765 Vol.
34%
28°C
$353 Vol.
16%
29°C
$784 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,115 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,979 Vol.
1%
32°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,425 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as the leading outcomes at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station. This reflects a warming trend following cooler highs around 22°C on April 15–16, amid high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on peak timing—mid-afternoon maximums versus earlier peaks under partial clouds—and local urban heat effects, with climatological April averages near 22°C but recent days trending 3–5°C warmer. New 00Z/12Z runs expected overnight could refine probabilities before observations confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$14,563End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as the leading outcomes at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station. This reflects a warming trend following cooler highs around 22°C on April 15–16, amid high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on peak timing—mid-afternoon maximums versus earlier peaks under partial clouds—and local urban heat effects, with climatological April averages near 22°C but recent days trending 3–5°C warmer. New 00Z/12Z runs expected overnight could refine probabilities before observations confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,563End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (34.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as the leading outcomes at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station. This reflects a warming trend following cooler highs around 22°C on April 15–16, amid high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover boosting solar insolation. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on peak timing—mid-afternoon maximums versus earlier peaks under partial clouds—and local urban heat effects, with climatological April averages near 22°C but recent days trending 3–5°C warmer. New 00Z/12Z runs expected overnight could refine probabilities before observations confirm the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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