Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 26, anchored by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration confirming peak daytime readings of exactly 30°C around solar noon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 3-5 m/s. This aligns with converged GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 29-30°C maxima, fueled by a high-pressure ridge enabling warm air advection into the Yangtze River basin following a sharp rebound from April 22's anomalous 14.8°C low and April 25's 26°C—well above late-April climatological norms of 23-24°C. With solar heating past its peak and temperatures stabilizing, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud breaks allowing a late surge to 31°C remain highly improbable; final CMA observations post-midnight will seal resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 26?
30°C 100%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,217 Vol.
$64,217 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,217 Vol.
$64,217 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
25°C or below
$6,083 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,718 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,901 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,926 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,158 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,414 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$6,061 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,962 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,861 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,985 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,147 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 26, anchored by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration confirming peak daytime readings of exactly 30°C around solar noon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 3-5 m/s. This aligns with converged GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 29-30°C maxima, fueled by a high-pressure ridge enabling warm air advection into the Yangtze River basin following a sharp rebound from April 22's anomalous 14.8°C low and April 25's 26°C—well above late-April climatological norms of 23-24°C. With solar heating past its peak and temperatures stabilizing, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud breaks allowing a late surge to 31°C remain highly improbable; final CMA observations post-midnight will seal resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$64,217End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 26, anchored by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration confirming peak daytime readings of exactly 30°C around solar noon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 3-5 m/s. This aligns with converged GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 29-30°C maxima, fueled by a high-pressure ridge enabling warm air advection into the Yangtze River basin following a sharp rebound from April 22's anomalous 14.8°C low and April 25's 26°C—well above late-April climatological norms of 23-24°C. With solar heating past its peak and temperatures stabilizing, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud breaks allowing a late surge to 31°C remain highly improbable; final CMA observations post-midnight will seal resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,217End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 26, anchored by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration confirming peak daytime readings of exactly 30°C around solar noon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 3-5 m/s. This aligns with converged GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 29-30°C maxima, fueled by a high-pressure ridge enabling warm air advection into the Yangtze River basin following a sharp rebound from April 22's anomalous 14.8°C low and April 25's 26°C—well above late-April climatological norms of 23-24°C. With solar heating past its peak and temperatures stabilizing, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud breaks allowing a late surge to 31°C remain highly improbable; final CMA observations post-midnight will seal resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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