Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 16?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,205 Vol.
$6,205 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,205 Vol.
$6,205 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,722 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,734 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$863 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,205End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,205End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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