**Persistent rain and cloud cover from an incoming weather system are capping maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on September 25, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 22°C-or-below (49%) and 23°C (22.5%) outcomes.** Official and model consensus from multiple sources shows highs of 20–23°C under light to moderate rain or showers, with high humidity (around 80–90%) and northeasterly winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a sharp cooldown from recent days and below the typical late-September average high near 27°C. The combination of overcast skies reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation strongly favors readings at or below 23°C, with only low-probability upside from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and monitoring agency guidance through the evening of September 24 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 25?
22°C or below 49%
23°C 23%
24°C 18%
25°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
49%
23°C
23%
24°C
18%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 49%
23°C 23%
24°C 18%
25°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover from an incoming weather system are capping maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on September 25, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 22°C-or-below (49%) and 23°C (22.5%) outcomes.**
Official and model consensus from multiple sources shows highs of 20–23°C under light to moderate rain or showers, with high humidity (around 80–90%) and northeasterly winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a sharp cooldown from recent days and below the typical late-September average high near 27°C. The combination of overcast skies reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation strongly favors readings at or below 23°C, with only low-probability upside from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and monitoring agency guidance through the evening of September 24 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover from an incoming weather system are capping maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on September 25, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 22°C-or-below (49%) and 23°C (22.5%) outcomes.**
Official and model consensus from multiple sources shows highs of 20–23°C under light to moderate rain or showers, with high humidity (around 80–90%) and northeasterly winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a sharp cooldown from recent days and below the typical late-September average high near 27°C. The combination of overcast skies reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation strongly favors readings at or below 23°C, with only low-probability upside from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and monitoring agency guidance through the evening of September 24 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Persistent rain and cloud cover from an incoming weather system are capping maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on September 25, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 22°C-or-below (49%) and 23°C (22.5%) outcomes.** Official and model consensus from multiple sources shows highs of 20–23°C under light to moderate rain or showers, with high humidity (around 80–90%) and northeasterly winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a sharp cooldown from recent days and below the typical late-September average high near 27°C. The combination of overcast skies reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation strongly favors readings at or below 23°C, with only low-probability upside from any unexpected clearing. Updated model runs and monitoring agency guidance through the evening of September 24 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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