The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$64,509 Vol.
$64,509 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$64,509 Vol.
$64,509 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
23°C or below
$4,911 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,454 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,047 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,076 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,858 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$16,103 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,162 Vol.
No
31°C
$469 Vol.
No
32°C
$156 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$172 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$64,509End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,509End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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