Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over northeast Uttar Pradesh, sustains widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Lucknow, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a 26–27°C low for August 29, with recent observed minima near 26–27°C under similar conditions. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–28°C market outcomes hinges on variables such as exact overnight cloud thickness, localized rainfall timing that enhances evaporative cooling, and light wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing—factors where short-range models still show modest spread. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$40 Vol.
6%
23°C
$208 Vol.
8%
24°C
$40 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over northeast Uttar Pradesh, sustains widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Lucknow, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a 26–27°C low for August 29, with recent observed minima near 26–27°C under similar conditions. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–28°C market outcomes hinges on variables such as exact overnight cloud thickness, localized rainfall timing that enhances evaporative cooling, and light wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing—factors where short-range models still show modest spread. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over northeast Uttar Pradesh, sustains widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Lucknow, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a 26–27°C low for August 29, with recent observed minima near 26–27°C under similar conditions. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–28°C market outcomes hinges on variables such as exact overnight cloud thickness, localized rainfall timing that enhances evaporative cooling, and light wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing—factors where short-range models still show modest spread. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over northeast Uttar Pradesh, sustains widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Lucknow, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a 26–27°C low for August 29, with recent observed minima near 26–27°C under similar conditions. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–28°C market outcomes hinges on variables such as exact overnight cloud thickness, localized rainfall timing that enhances evaporative cooling, and light wind patterns affecting boundary-layer mixing—factors where short-range models still show modest spread. Trader consensus reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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