Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
22°C 46%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
46%
23°C
8%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$133 Vol.
1%
22°C
$96 Vol.
46%
23°C
$124 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$500 Vol.
1%
30°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$896 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,163End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,163End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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