Recent Atlantic air advection has driven modest cooling across northern France, positioning ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C for Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will modulate radiative cooling rates, with clearer skies potentially allowing the minimum to dip toward 17°C while increased moisture or breezes could hold it near 19°C. This narrow spread reflects broad model consensus amid typical mid-August synoptic variability, where historical lows often range 15–18°C under similar setups. Traders appear to weigh the next 48-hour forecast updates and any shifts in steering patterns as the key variables that could tip resolution within the tightly bunched 17–19°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
18°C 31%
19°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C
30%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
7%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
19°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C
$5 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$51 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$4 Vol.
6%
22°C
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven modest cooling across northern France, positioning ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C for Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will modulate radiative cooling rates, with clearer skies potentially allowing the minimum to dip toward 17°C while increased moisture or breezes could hold it near 19°C. This narrow spread reflects broad model consensus amid typical mid-August synoptic variability, where historical lows often range 15–18°C under similar setups. Traders appear to weigh the next 48-hour forecast updates and any shifts in steering patterns as the key variables that could tip resolution within the tightly bunched 17–19°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven modest cooling across northern France, positioning ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C for Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will modulate radiative cooling rates, with clearer skies potentially allowing the minimum to dip toward 17°C while increased moisture or breezes could hold it near 19°C. This narrow spread reflects broad model consensus amid typical mid-August synoptic variability, where historical lows often range 15–18°C under similar setups. Traders appear to weigh the next 48-hour forecast updates and any shifts in steering patterns as the key variables that could tip resolution within the tightly bunched 17–19°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlantic air advection has driven modest cooling across northern France, positioning ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C for Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will modulate radiative cooling rates, with clearer skies potentially allowing the minimum to dip toward 17°C while increased moisture or breezes could hold it near 19°C. This narrow spread reflects broad model consensus amid typical mid-August synoptic variability, where historical lows often range 15–18°C under similar setups. Traders appear to weigh the next 48-hour forecast updates and any shifts in steering patterns as the key variables that could tip resolution within the tightly bunched 17–19°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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