Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating across coastal Los Angeles on August 16, 2026, producing National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 77°F at the LAX station. This setup—low stratus clouds and sea breezes—limits solar insolation and aligns with climatological normals, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the clear market leader. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing under light west-southwest winds, keeping readings well below inland or typical mid-August peaks of 82–85°F. Official observations from the prior day reached 83°F, underscoring the current cooling influence, though any earlier marine layer dissipation could allow modest warming into the 78–79°F range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
76-77°F 68%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
$10,758 Vol.
NEW
$10,758 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
68%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 68%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
$10,758 Vol.
NEW
$10,758 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$386 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$305 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$511 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,882 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$1,765 Vol.
68%
78-79°F
$2,705 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$318 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$271 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating across coastal Los Angeles on August 16, 2026, producing National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 77°F at the LAX station. This setup—low stratus clouds and sea breezes—limits solar insolation and aligns with climatological normals, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the clear market leader. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing under light west-southwest winds, keeping readings well below inland or typical mid-August peaks of 82–85°F. Official observations from the prior day reached 83°F, underscoring the current cooling influence, though any earlier marine layer dissipation could allow modest warming into the 78–79°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,758End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating across coastal Los Angeles on August 16, 2026, producing National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 77°F at the LAX station. This setup—low stratus clouds and sea breezes—limits solar insolation and aligns with climatological normals, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the clear market leader. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing under light west-southwest winds, keeping readings well below inland or typical mid-August peaks of 82–85°F. Official observations from the prior day reached 83°F, underscoring the current cooling influence, though any earlier marine layer dissipation could allow modest warming into the 78–79°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,758End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating across coastal Los Angeles on August 16, 2026, producing National Weather Service forecasts of a high near 77°F at the LAX station. This setup—low stratus clouds and sea breezes—limits solar insolation and aligns with climatological normals, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the clear market leader. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing under light west-southwest winds, keeping readings well below inland or typical mid-August peaks of 82–85°F. Official observations from the prior day reached 83°F, underscoring the current cooling influence, though any earlier marine layer dissipation could allow modest warming into the 78–79°F range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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