Recent numerical weather prediction runs point to an overnight minimum near 22–23 °C in Qingdao on 30 August, driven by moderate northerly flow, high humidity near 80 %, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows light winds reducing mixing while patchy moisture from upstream systems prevents stronger drops below 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22 °C, aligning with current guidance, though small differences in forecast cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the outcome between 21–23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
22°C 40%
19°C or below 33%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
19°C or below
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
15%
22°C 40%
19°C or below 33%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
19°C or below
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs point to an overnight minimum near 22–23 °C in Qingdao on 30 August, driven by moderate northerly flow, high humidity near 80 %, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows light winds reducing mixing while patchy moisture from upstream systems prevents stronger drops below 21 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22 °C, aligning with current guidance, though small differences in forecast cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the outcome between 21–23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions