Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 23?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 23?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,357 Vol.
$32,357 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,357 Vol.
$32,357 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
16°C or below
$1,160 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,498 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,928 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,606 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$5,129 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,606 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,754 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,459 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,679 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,549 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,990 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,357End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,357End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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