**Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with northwest winds of 5–7 mph and partly to mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 14.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26–27°C, pointing to an overnight low near 18–20°C in the Incheon/Seoul area, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 38% implied probability. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows around 17–18°C, but current dew points near 12–16°C and low precipitation chances limit further cooling. Model spreads create the balanced odds on extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher both at 28%), as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–3°C before resolution. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
14°C or below 44%
24°C or higher 44%
19°C 42%
22°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
44%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
19%
19°C
42%
20°C
26%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
44%
14°C or below 44%
24°C or higher 44%
19°C 42%
22°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
44%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$211 Vol.
42%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
30%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with northwest winds of 5–7 mph and partly to mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 14.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26–27°C, pointing to an overnight low near 18–20°C in the Incheon/Seoul area, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 38% implied probability. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows around 17–18°C, but current dew points near 12–16°C and low precipitation chances limit further cooling. Model spreads create the balanced odds on extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher both at 28%), as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–3°C before resolution. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$211End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with northwest winds of 5–7 mph and partly to mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 14.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26–27°C, pointing to an overnight low near 18–20°C in the Incheon/Seoul area, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 38% implied probability. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows around 17–18°C, but current dew points near 12–16°C and low precipitation chances limit further cooling. Model spreads create the balanced odds on extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher both at 28%), as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–3°C before resolution. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$211End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula, with northwest winds of 5–7 mph and partly to mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 14.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26–27°C, pointing to an overnight low near 18–20°C in the Incheon/Seoul area, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 38% implied probability. Historical mid-September climatology shows average lows around 17–18°C, but current dew points near 12–16°C and low precipitation chances limit further cooling. Model spreads create the balanced odds on extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher both at 28%), as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the minimum by 2–3°C before resolution. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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