Trader consensus centers on 24–27°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Tel Aviv on August 21, driven by ongoing clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and a persistent subtropical ridge limit further drops, consistent with August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Slightly above-normal monthly temperatures (+1.3°C) observed so far this August have not altered the pattern, keeping 27°C the highest-implied outcome at 57.5%. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and model runs through the evening will refine cooling rates before the market resolves on the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
21°C or below 79%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
24°C 44%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
79%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
44%
25°C
43%
26°C
41%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 79%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
24°C 44%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Vol.
79%
22°C
$145 Vol.
58%
23°C
$144 Vol.
59%
24°C
$39 Vol.
44%
25°C
$39 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
41%
27°C
$20 Vol.
59%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$379 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–27°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Tel Aviv on August 21, driven by ongoing clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and a persistent subtropical ridge limit further drops, consistent with August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Slightly above-normal monthly temperatures (+1.3°C) observed so far this August have not altered the pattern, keeping 27°C the highest-implied outcome at 57.5%. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and model runs through the evening will refine cooling rates before the market resolves on the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–27°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Tel Aviv on August 21, driven by ongoing clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and a persistent subtropical ridge limit further drops, consistent with August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Slightly above-normal monthly temperatures (+1.3°C) observed so far this August have not altered the pattern, keeping 27°C the highest-implied outcome at 57.5%. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and model runs through the evening will refine cooling rates before the market resolves on the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 24–27°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Tel Aviv on August 21, driven by ongoing clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and a persistent subtropical ridge limit further drops, consistent with August climatology showing typical lows of 24–26°C. Slightly above-normal monthly temperatures (+1.3°C) observed so far this August have not altered the pattern, keeping 27°C the highest-implied outcome at 57.5%. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and model runs through the evening will refine cooling rates before the market resolves on the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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