North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$34,271 KL.
$34,271 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$34,271 KL.
$34,271 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,154 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$18,117 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,271Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,271Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 following the 2025 redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Alma Adams, first elected in 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote and faces Republican Jack Codiga in the November general election. Ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Adams' prior general election margins exceeding 70%. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory. Factors sustaining this position include the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health concerns, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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