Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 69 percent implied probability of victory over the Republican incumbent. Janelle Stelson, who won her party's May primary, faces a rematch against Scott Perry in a district rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent head-to-head polling shows Stelson holding narrow leads of three to six points, consistent with both parties identifying the seat as among the most competitive Republican-held districts nationwide. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a swing-state battleground, where turnout patterns and campaign spending will likely determine the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
$317 交易量
69%
Republican Party
$569 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 69 percent implied probability of victory over the Republican incumbent. Janelle Stelson, who won her party's May primary, faces a rematch against Scott Perry in a district rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent head-to-head polling shows Stelson holding narrow leads of three to six points, consistent with both parties identifying the seat as among the most competitive Republican-held districts nationwide. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a swing-state battleground, where turnout patterns and campaign spending will likely determine the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$886結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 69 percent implied probability of victory over the Republican incumbent. Janelle Stelson, who won her party's May primary, faces a rematch against Scott Perry in a district rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent head-to-head polling shows Stelson holding narrow leads of three to six points, consistent with both parties identifying the seat as among the most competitive Republican-held districts nationwide. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a swing-state battleground, where turnout patterns and campaign spending will likely determine the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$886結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 69 percent implied probability of victory over the Republican incumbent. Janelle Stelson, who won her party's May primary, faces a rematch against Scott Perry in a district rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent head-to-head polling shows Stelson holding narrow leads of three to six points, consistent with both parties identifying the seat as among the most competitive Republican-held districts nationwide. The race features standard midterm dynamics in a swing-state battleground, where turnout patterns and campaign spending will likely determine the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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